November 2011: Transition—the full assumption of Afghan responsibility for security by end-2014, the drawdown of most international military forces and the likely reduction in overall assistance—will have a profound impact on Afghanistan’s economic and political landscape, extending well beyond 2014.

This study assesses the medium to longer term impacts of declining aid and military spending on economic growth, poverty, fiscal management, service delivery and government capacity.

It suggests options to Government of Afghanistan (GoA) and the international donor community to manage and mitigate the adverse impacts of transition while exploiting the opportunities to improve aid effectiveness and encourage inclusive growth.

This is the beginning of the process – additional analysis from the World Bank will develop these themes further over the coming months.

Additional resources

South Asia Data
Comprehensive set of data about development in the Region
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2011 South Asia Regional Brief
South Asia has experienced a long period of robust economic growth, averaging 6% a year over the past 20 years.Read More »

World Bank in South Asia
For more information about World Bank activities in the Region. Read More »

South Asia Analysis and Research
Compilation of the World Bank's analysis and research on Pakistan. Read More »